According to an advisory issued on Friday, May 1, the weatherman said the heavy rainfall currently being recorded across various regions is expected to reduce significantly by mid-May 2026.
The department noted that while the first week of May will continue to experience heavy downpours in several areas, weather conditions are likely to improve as the month progresses.
“The outlook for May indicates that the second half of the month is likely to be drier than average, implying the cessation of the March-April-May 2026 rainfall season,” Kenya Met revealed.
The forecast offers hope to many Kenyans who have been grappling with the effects of prolonged rainfall, including flooding, transport disruptions and damage to crops in some regions.
Kenya Met further explained that the final days of May are expected to be generally drier than average across many parts of the country.
This shift in weather patterns is expected to mark the end of the March-April-May long rains season, which is a critical period for agriculture.
However, the department cautioned that not all regions will experience an immediate break from the rains. Areas such as Central Kenya, Western Kenya, the Lake Victoria Basin and the Coastal region are expected to continue receiving rainfall into June.
Despite the continuation of rainfall in these regions, Kenya Met clarified that the amounts recorded are likely to be below average compared to previous weeks.
This suggests a gradual transition towards drier conditions rather than an abrupt end to the rainy season.
The long rains season, which typically runs from March to May, plays a vital role in supporting farming activities and water resources across the country.
However, excessive rainfall can also lead to challenges, including flooding and infrastructure damage.
The latest advisory is therefore expected to bring some relief to residents and sectors that have been adversely affected by the heavy rains in recent weeks.
Kenya Met has urged the public to continue monitoring weather updates and advisories, especially in areas that are still expected to receive rainfall.
Residents in flood-prone regions have also been advised to remain cautious as the rains gradually subside.