The survey shows that support for DCP rose sharply from six per cent in November 2025 to 16 per cent in May 2026, making it one of the country’s fastest-growing political parties within a short period.
The findings also indicate shifting political dynamics across the country, with both the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) and the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) experiencing notable declines in support compared to their popularity during the 2022 General Election period.
Support for former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua’s
According to the poll, ODM support has dropped from 32 per cent in August 2022 to 18 per cent in May 2026.
However, the party has shown signs of recovery after previously falling to 13 per cent in September 2025.
The ODM party, led by veteran opposition leader Raila Odinga, remains one of the country’s dominant political formations despite the decline reflected in the survey.
President William Ruto’s UDA party has also registered a sharp drop in popularity.
The poll shows UDA support currently stands at 17 per cent, down from 38 per cent recorded in August 2022 during the height of the Kenya Kwanza campaign season.
The decline represents one of the most significant shifts in public political support since the last general election and comes amid growing political realignments across different regions of the country.
Political analysts say the rise of DCP could signal increasing support for Gachagua following his fallout with sections of the Kenya Kwanza administration and his renewed political mobilisation efforts across Mt Kenya and other regions.
Since leaving government, Gachagua has intensified engagements with grassroots leaders, church groups and community gatherings, positioning himself as a key opposition voice critical of the current administration.
The TIFA findings suggest that a section of voters may now be shifting allegiance from traditional major parties to emerging political formations perceived to better represent their interests and frustrations.
The survey also reflects broader dissatisfaction among some Kenyans over the economy, cost of living and political leadership, issues that continue to shape public opinion ahead of future political contests.